Current Observations

Quarterly Recap

Fund Focus

Market Trends

Market Trends

Margin Loans instead of Mortgages

A story in the Wall Street Journal explains a recent trend in home buying - utilizing a brokerage account as collateral for a mortgage. Similar to a margin account, these mortgages are for the full purchase price of your home. The loan works like this - the borrower is typically asked to pledge securities valued at between 33% and 40% of the price of the house. The lender provides 100% of the price of the home, utilizing the investment account and the house as collateral for the loan. Interest rates are comparable to a traditional loan and the home buyer makes all of the investment decisions. If the stocks do well, the profits are yours and you come out ahead (instead of sinking the cash into the down payment). However, there is substantial risk on the downside. If the investments do not do so well, you can be subject to a maintenance call. If you do not have sufficient funds to cover the maintenance requirement, which is typically 85% of the original value, the brokerage firm/lender can freeze the account and can move the investments into something more conservative. They cannot repossess the house as long as the mortgage payments are being made. There are potential tax advantages associated with these types of loans. Because the loan is for the full value of the house, rather than the traditional 80% or less, your interest deduction will be larger. You also have the potential capital gains savings since you do not have to liquidate assets to make the down payment. These mortgages have been around for a while and are offered by most of the larger brokerage firms. They have gained popularity recently as many people have large stock portfolios that they are unwilling to liquidate. These mortgages do have some limited usefulness for that purpose; as long as there are sufficient assets available should there be a market correction and the home buyer fully understands and accepts the risks. These types of loans are very risky and are not suitable for most investors. CCP does not typically utilize margin accounts for clients and would not advocate utilizing this type of loan in most circumstances. However, we are always happy to discuss options with our clients. Call us for an appointment if you would like to have further discussion.

ETF's

Many of you may have heard or read about Exchange Traded Funds or ETF's. ETF's are funds that represent a group of securities (an index) and trade like a stock on a major stock exchange. Examples included S&P 500 Index shares known as SPDR's, World Equity Benchmark Shares (WEBS). Barclay's Global Investors introduced several ETF's that track various indices as well, and Vanguard has announced that they too would begin to offer VIPERS (Vanguard Index Participation Equity Receipts) to compete in this market. There are some key differences between these securities and mutual funds. Whereas mutual funds are only traded once per day at the closing price, ETF's can be traded continuously. Mutual funds automatically reinvest dividends, the ETF's reinvest the dividends quarterly. Perhaps one of the largest differences is the taxability of transactions. As you know, when you hold a mutual fund you pay taxes on gains at the end of each year, and your basis is adjusted accordingly. Because these ETF's trade like a stock, your basis is always your purchase price and you don't pay any taxes until you actually sell the investment. This may be a significant advantage for some investors, although we caution that eventually the tax bill does have to be paid. We are looking at these types of investments more closely and may have further discussion with you if we feel you may benefit from investing in some of these instruments. We're happy to discuss any questions that you may have.

Jumping on the Technology Bandwagon

With all of the media hype surrounding the record setting NASDAQ index, we find that some of our clients feel that they are watching the technology revolution from the sidelines. In fact, though many widely owned mutual funds already have a substantial portion of assets invested in the technology sector. For example, the Vanguard Index 500 had about 26% in technology in 1999 and the Janus fund had about 27%. CCP's diversified portfolios provide exposure to both the older blue chip companies as well as the newer technology holdings, small cap stocks, and international companies. We are considering a larger, but well controlled investment in various sectors for certain clients who are a good match for a riskier portfolio. Please contact us for further information.

Carol's Reading and Restatement

It has been a long time since we have experienced a lengthy bear market. That last major bear market was in 1973 and 1974 and the last cyclical bear market was in 1990. We had a major correction just recently in January of this year, which seems to be continuing as of this writing. Whereas these dips have alerted us of possible buying opportunities, the prolonged bull market has spawned a "can't lose" attitude on the part of most investors. This is giving us the opportunity to revisit the psychological perspective between risk tolerance and rate of return and the achievement of goals.

CCP, Inc, as advisors, is faced with coaching our clients to maintain discipline and avoid impulsive behavior. What are some of the issues that we can relate to in the here-and-now?

  • Using the short term trends to become the starting point or anchor of our expectations
  • Using headlines, the media and their interpretation of isolated sectors/industries/stocks as the basis of intuitive appeal and investor biases
  • Applying simplistic extrapolations and trend investing ignores fundamentals and negates realistic long term assumptions due to short term overconfidence
  • Using hindsight as a decision making tool creates an illusion of predictive powers rather than using it as a single form of analysis
  • Consider your goals: consider the diversification of your current assets and income resources as solutions in optimizing the wealth needed to achieve your goals rather than chasing the inflated expectations of market results over the past few years

It is important to us, as a trusted investment advisor to clients and families, to have clearly defined, consistently applied investment strategies for their portfolios. It is through experience, research and listening to client needs that our diversified portfolios have been created and thus implemented.

Our services go beyond just the investment analysis... there is nothing more important to us than the overall achievement of client goals and financial security of each and every participant in our financial planning process.